commercial properties investing

As per usual, the best one can say about the “news” as to whether now is a good time to invest in real estate is at best confusing, at worst deliberately so. But there are some indicators giving an idea as to when and at what price is a good time to consider re-investing in property. Ignoring the obviously “spun” headlines from the government press release farms such as The Times, these are a few recent, factual articles that might be of interest as it would appear that the commercial real estate bubble is now starting to burst – and as predicted will have an impact on the credit availability in the residential sector.

More on Investing in Real Estate – is it Time Yet?

MOODY’S/REAL COMMERCIAL PROPERTY PRICE INDEX DECLINES 1.7% FOR MARCH

Index Stands 20.8% below March 2008 Levels 22.8% below peak of October 2007 Value Drops Nearly 20% in First Quarter ‘09

The Moody’s/REAL National All Property Type Aggregate Index from Real Estate Analytics, LLC, (REAL), measures 148.07 for March 2009, a decrease of 1.7% from the previous month.  The Index, which has captured price data through the end of March 2009, is now 20.8% lower than it was a year ago and 22.8% below the peak measured in October 2007.  The index also indicated a 20% drop in prices over the past two years and has returned to its level of March 2005, although still lagging behind the residential sector falls.

More on Commercial Property Values in the USA Fall 20 percent Q1 2009

Bloomberg, The Times and all the other major newspapers are apparently shocked thta there was a drop in US housing starts in April. According to Bloomberg yesterday:

U.S. stocks declined as banks fell after Moody’s Investors Service said commercial property values plunged and Home Depot Inc. retreated following an unexpected slump in housing starts.

And the Times ran with a similar lead in, which is entertaining because in March they reported “an unexpected rise in new home sales,” which apparently heralded  “the first tentative signs of economic “green shoots.”

More on Unexpected drop in US housing starts says Bloomberg and The Times